Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final · OT Fri 02 Oct 2026 296 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 0:0 P3 1:1 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

61% FBK Valmiera
vs
39% FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1497, FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers 1467) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 56% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 12:19 0:1 Artis Upītis19:20 1:1 Kārlis Viļums50:17 1:2 Jānis Ragovskis54:59 2:2 Oskars SiliņšOT 07:03 3:2 Gvido Lauga FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
1 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 50:17 1:2 Jānis Ragovskis (FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers) FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers's win chance 44% → 71%
  2. 54:59 2:2 Oskars Siliņš (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 22% → 55%
  3. OT 07:03 3:2 Gvido Lauga (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 54% → 100%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

25.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 75.0

Penalties

1 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills4
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes4
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played3
3Points3
0.75Points per Game (PPG)1.0
1Wins1
3Losses2
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
5.0Goals per Game (GPG)6.33
5.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.33
2.25Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.25Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.67

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W Last 5 games W L L
0.75Points per Game (PPG)1.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.33

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
87.50Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0