Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final · OT Fri 09 Oct 2026 443 spectators
P1 0:3 P2 1:0 P3 3:1 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

79% Lekrings
vs
21% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Lekrings 1682, FBK Valmiera 1497) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 85% of this season's games
Lekrings 03:28 0:1 Oskars Siliņš14:30 0:2 Oskars Siliņš16:56 0:3 Ričards Eglītis31:11 1:3 Henriks Šķēle41:38 2:3 Kevins Šmits44:52 3:3 Bruno Beķeris52:10 4:3 Kevins Šmits59:50 4:4 Gvido LaugaOT 08:30 5:4 Jorens Malkavs FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 44:52 3:3 Bruno Beķeris (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 46% → 68%
  2. 59:50 4:4 Gvido Lauga (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 4% → 37%
  3. OT 08:30 5:4 Jorens Malkavs (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 63% → 100%

The line shows Lekrings's chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
6Games played6
12Points7
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.17
3Wins1
1Losses3
1 OT/PS Wins 2
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.33Goals per Game (GPG)5.0
4.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.67
1.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.33
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W L W Last 5 games L L W W W
2.40Points per Game (PPG)1.40
2.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.0
1.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.33
30.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)85.71
66.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)15.38