Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final Sat 10 Oct 2026 334 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 3:2 P3 2:0

Pre-game win probability

78% FK Kurši
vs
22% FBK SĀC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FK Kurši 1475, FBK SĀC 1302) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 33% of this season's games
FK Kurši 04:45 0:1 Gusts Jurēvics12:24 1:1 Linards Putniņš26:09 1:2 Kristers Orlovs29:10 2:2 Krišs Ādolfs Antāns29:27 3:2 Linards Putniņš32:19 3:3 Ralfs Stratans33:54 4:3 Ingars Jansons40:49 5:3 Krišs Ādolfs Antāns58:50 6:3 Gvido Griezītis FBK SĀC
Lead changes
1
Ties
3
Largest lead
3 FK Kurši
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 26:09 1:2 Kristers Orlovs (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 26% → 40%
  2. 29:10 2:2 Krišs Ādolfs Antāns (FK Kurši) FK Kurši's win chance 58% → 73%
  3. 33:54 4:3 Ingars Jansons (FK Kurši) FK Kurši's win chance 71% → 83%

The line shows FK Kurši's chance to win (top) against FBK SĀC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / n.a.

Penalties

2 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays2
0Power play goals1
2Penalty kills0
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead2
2Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
5Games played5
7Points6
1.40Points per Game (PPG)1.20
2Wins2
2Losses3
0 OT/PS Wins 0
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.20Goals per Game (GPG)4.0
6.40Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.40
-1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.40
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L W L Last 5 games W W L L L
1.40Points per Game (PPG)1.20
-1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.50Points per Game (PPG)3.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.0
45.45Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)85.71
85.71Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)46.67