Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final Fri 23 Oct 2026 338 spectators
FBK Valmiera Home
7:10
Ķekava/RB&B Away
P1 2:3 P2 1:3 P3 4:4

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 33%
67% FBK Valmiera
vs
33% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1504, Ķekava/RB&B 1423) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 62% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 03:30 1:0 Mārtiņš Broks05:13 1:1 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons05:36 1:2 Endijs Umberts Barruss09:35 2:2 Gvido Lauga19:52 2:3 Ričards Orste25:39 2:4 Ričards Orste30:31 2:5 Toms Ķeirāns34:36 3:5 Mārtiņš Broks34:40 3:6 Valters Priede41:37 3:7 Toms Ķeirāns45:26 4:7 Gvido Lauga46:45 4:8 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons49:59 5:8 Gvido Lauga55:26 5:9 Toms Ķeirāns56:47 6:9 Gvido Lauga58:45 6:10 Kārlis Degins59:27 7:10 Gvido Lauga Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
4 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 19:52 2:3 Ričards Orste (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 34% → 48%
  2. 25:39 2:4 Ričards Orste (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 51% → 66%
  3. 30:31 2:5 Toms Ķeirāns (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 69% → 81%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 14.29

Penalty kill efficiency

85.71 / 50.0

Penalties

6 / 5

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
6Power plays7
3Power play goals1
7Penalty kills6
1Goals against on PK3

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
52 minutes4
12+2 minutes1
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
7Games played6
8Points3
1.14Points per Game (PPG)0.50
1Wins0
3Losses4
2 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 1
4.86Goals per Game (GPG)4.67
4.71Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
0.14Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.33
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.60
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W W L Last 5 games L L L W L
1.60Points per Game (PPG)0.60
0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.33Points per Game (PPG)0.0
0.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.0
16.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)86.67
83.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)25.0