Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final Sun 25 Oct 2026 294 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 3:0 P3 5:0

Pre-game win probability

84% Rubene
vs
16% FK Kurši

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Rubene 1696, FK Kurši 1451) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 15% of this season's games
Rubene 06:06 0:1 Linards Putniņš19:28 1:1 Matīss Celms22:02 2:1 Jēkabs Keišs34:31 3:1 Dāvis Zēmelis38:08 4:1 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts43:34 5:1 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts44:01 6:1 Artūrs Bratčikovs46:25 7:1 Kārlis Bitmanis47:19 8:1 Artis Matīss Fogels48:18 9:1 Henri Kukkonen FK Kurši
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
8 Rubene
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 06:06 0:1 Linards Putniņš (FK Kurši) FK Kurši's win chance 14% → 22%
  2. 19:28 1:1 Matīss Celms (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 72% → 82%
  3. 22:02 2:1 Jēkabs Keišs (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 81% → 89%

The line shows Rubene's chance to win (top) against FK Kurši's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 25.0

Penalty kill efficiency

75.0 / 50.0

Penalties

4 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays4
2Power play goals1
4Penalty kills4
1Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes4
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
7Games played7
18Points10
2.57Points per Game (PPG)1.43
5Wins3
0Losses3
1 OT/PS Wins 0
1 OT/PS Losses 1
6.71Goals per Game (GPG)5.14
4.29Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
2.43Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.86
2.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W W W Last 5 games L W L W L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)1.40
3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.33
0.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.0
8.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)80.0
86.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)25.0