Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final Sat 24 Oct 2026 170 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 1:1 P3 1:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 29%
29% FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers
vs
71% Masters Ulbroka/LU

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers 1571, Masters Ulbroka/LU 1769) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 49% of this season's games
FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers 03:38 1:0 Rūdolfs Niedrājs11:52 1:1 Niks Blumfelds33:58 2:1 Mariss Bergmanis37:20 2:2 Kristers Leksis43:04 3:2 Rūdolfs Niedrājs Masters Ulbroka/LU
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
1 FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 33:58 2:1 Mariss Bergmanis (FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers) FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers's win chance 35% → 52%
  2. 37:20 2:2 Kristers Leksis (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 46% → 64%
  3. 43:04 3:2 Rūdolfs Niedrājs (FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers) FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers's win chance 37% → 58%

The line shows FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers's chance to win (top) against Masters Ulbroka/LU's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
0Power play goals0
3Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead0
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
7Games played7
13Points17
1.86Points per Game (PPG)2.43
4Wins5
2Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
6.43Goals per Game (GPG)7.43
4.29Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.71
2.14Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.71
2.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)4.60
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W W W Last 5 games W W W L W
2.0Points per Game (PPG)2.20
2.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)2.80
3.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.60
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)57.14
81.82Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)23.53