Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final Sat 31 Oct 2026 515 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 2:2 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

22% FBK Valmiera
vs
78% Rubene

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1449, Rubene 1713) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 36% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 04:05 0:1 Artis Matīss Fogels23:00 1:1 Markuss Strazdiņš-Stradiņš27:42 2:1 Mārtiņš Broks28:40 2:2 Jēkabs Keišs28:51 2:3 Henri Kukkonen48:15 3:3 Ralfs Akmentiņš57:29 3:4 Artis Matīss Fogels Rubene
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
1 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 28:40 2:2 Jēkabs Keišs (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 58% → 73%
  2. 48:15 3:3 Ralfs Akmentiņš (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 15% → 34%
  3. 57:29 3:4 Artis Matīss Fogels (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 63% → 91%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Rubene's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 33.33

Penalty kill efficiency

66.67 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays3
0Power play goals1
3Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead3
2Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes3
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
8Games played8
8Points21
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.62
1Wins6
4Losses0
2 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 1
5.12Goals per Game (GPG)7.0
5.38Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.88
-0.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.12
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.80
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W L L Last 5 games W W W W W
1.60Points per Game (PPG)2.80
0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-0.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.0
31.25Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)87.50
84.62Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)20.0