Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final Sat 31 Oct 2026 197 spectators
P1 0:0 P2 0:1 P3 2:1

Pre-game win probability

70% Masters Ulbroka/LU
vs
30% Lekrings

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Masters Ulbroka/LU 1740, Lekrings 1634) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 59% of this season's games
Masters Ulbroka/LU 29:21 0:1 Olafs Zvīnis40:27 0:2 Kevins Šmits45:05 1:2 Rolands Kovaļevskis50:29 2:2 Gvido Grjunbergs Lekrings
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
2 Lekrings
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 40:27 0:2 Kevins Šmits (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 57% → 75%
  2. 45:05 1:2 Rolands Kovaļevskis (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 21% → 40%
  3. 50:29 2:2 Gvido Grjunbergs (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 34% → 61%

The line shows Masters Ulbroka/LU's chance to win (top) against Lekrings's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 25.0

Penalty kill efficiency

75.0 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays4
0Power play goals1
4Penalty kills4
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes4
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
8Games played8
17Points14
2.12Points per Game (PPG)1.75
5Wins3
2Losses2
1 OT/PS Wins 2
0 OT/PS Losses 1
6.75Goals per Game (GPG)5.25
4.50Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.25
2.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0
3.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W L Last 5 games W L W W L
1.60Points per Game (PPG)1.80
1.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.50Points per Game (PPG)1.50
0.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.75
17.65Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)62.50
64.29Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0