26/27 Regular Season Final Sun 04 Oct 2026 137 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 1:2 P3 1:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 10%
90% MFBC Leipzig
vs
10% VfL Red Hocks Kaufering

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (MFBC Leipzig 1653, VfL Red Hocks Kaufering 1323) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 67% of this season's games
MFBC Leipzig 04:31 0:1 Miro Akerlund08:01 1:1 Radim Kühnel11:43 1:2 Johannes Probst22:48 2:2 Mark-Oliver Bothe27:00 2:3 Johannes Probst27:52 2:4 Benedikt Föhr43:31 3:4 Benedikt Richardon VfL Red Hocks Kaufering
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 VfL Red Hocks Kaufering
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 27:00 2:3 Johannes Probst (VfL Red Hocks Kaufering) VfL Red Hocks Kaufering's win chance 15% → 25%
  2. 27:52 2:4 Benedikt Föhr (VfL Red Hocks Kaufering) VfL Red Hocks Kaufering's win chance 26% → 40%
  3. 43:31 3:4 Benedikt Richardon (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 38% → 60%

The line shows MFBC Leipzig's chance to win (top) against VfL Red Hocks Kaufering's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead3
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played4
10Points0
2.50Points per Game (PPG)0.0
2Wins0
0Losses4
2 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
7.0Goals per Game (GPG)2.50
2.75Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.0
4.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50
1.75Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.75Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.25

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W Last 5 games L L L L
2.50Points per Game (PPG)0.0
4.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.33Points per Game (PPG)0.0
1.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.0
20.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)87.50
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33