Finland 26/27 Regular Season Scheduled Sun 03 Jan 2027 · 17:00

Win probability

26% TPS
vs
74% SPV

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings today (TPS 1469, SPV 1695) with home advantage. How it works

What's at stake

It's about first place: a win puts SPV's chance of topping the table at 18%, a loss at 8%.

TeamTodayWinLoss Playoffs TPS 78% 88% 75% SPV 100% 100% 100% Title TPS 0% 0% 0% SPV 5% 5% 4% 1st place TPS 0% 0% 0% SPV 16% 18% 8%

From the season simulations: each team's chance today, in the seasons where it wins this game (overtime included) and in those where it loses. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
0First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
9Games played9
8Points26
0.89Points per Game (PPG)2.89
2Wins8
6Losses0
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.11Goals per Game (GPG)9.22
6.56Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.11
-2.44Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.11
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W W L Last 5 games W W W W W
1.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-2.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)8.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.60Points per Game (PPG)2.80
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.20
16.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
57.14Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0