Finland 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Wed 08 Apr 2026 502 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 1:0 P3 2:1

Pre-game win probability

88% Classic
vs
12% Indians

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Classic 1905, Indians 1607) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 55% of this season's games
Classic 01:54 1:0 Ville Hietaranta11:37 1:1 Ville Rautakoura13:36 1:2 Jani Rauhala20:50 2:2 Teemu Karppanen48:37 2:3 Jere Niemelä50:00 3:3 Oskari Heikkilä50:29 4:3 Eetu Sikkinen Indians
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
1 Classic
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 48:37 2:3 Jere Niemelä (Indians) Indians's win chance 26% → 50%
  2. 50:00 3:3 Oskari Heikkilä (Classic) Classic's win chance 48% → 73%
  3. 50:29 4:3 Eetu Sikkinen (Classic) Classic's win chance 73% → 89%

The line shows Classic's chance to win (top) against Indians's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead2
2Equalizers1
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played6
12Points13
3.0Points per Game (PPG)2.17
4Wins3
0Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 2
8.0Goals per Game (GPG)4.33
3.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.17
5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.17
1.75Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.60
0.75Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W Last 5 games W W W L W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)2.40
5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.33
2.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.33
40.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)33.33
57.14Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0