Finland 25/26 Playoffs Final Final Fri 01 May 2026 1207 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 3:0 P3 2:3

Pre-game win probability

67% Classic
vs
33% Nokian KrP

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Classic 1927, Nokian KrP 1849) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 76% of this season's games
Classic 04:06 1:0 Alpo Laitila11:09 1:1 Mikko Laakso16:54 1:2 Nico Jonaeson27:07 2:2 Eemeli Salin37:53 3:2 Oskari Heikkilä39:59 4:2 Ville Lastikka42:48 4:3 Valte Karvonen43:55 5:3 Ville Hietaranta44:52 5:4 Topias Simonen46:15 6:4 Ville Hietaranta52:28 6:5 Heikki kallio Nokian KrP
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 Classic
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 16:54 1:2 Nico Jonaeson (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 34% → 48%
  2. 27:07 2:2 Eemeli Salin (Classic) Classic's win chance 48% → 64%
  3. 37:53 3:2 Oskari Heikkilä (Classic) Classic's win chance 62% → 78%

The line shows Classic's chance to win (top) against Nokian KrP's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
11Games played11
29Points26
2.64Points per Game (PPG)2.36
9Wins8
0Losses2
0 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 0
6.0Goals per Game (GPG)5.91
3.64Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.64
2.36Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.27
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W L Last 5 games W W W L W
2.60Points per Game (PPG)2.20
1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.80
2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.40
60.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)57.14
25.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0