Finland 25/26 Playoffs Final Final · OT Tue 05 May 2026 902 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 2:0 P3 1:4 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 32%
68% Classic
vs
32% Nokian KrP

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Classic 1932, Nokian KrP 1844) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 93% of this season's games
Classic 06:36 1:0 Ville Lastikka35:16 2:0 Ville Lastikka38:26 3:0 Peteris Trekse40:58 3:1 Juuso Ahola45:47 3:2 Luukas Hyvärinen46:30 3:3 Luukas Hyvärinen51:10 3:4 Luukas Hyvärinen57:01 4:4 Peteris TrekseOT 01:23 4:5 Luukas Hyvärinen Nokian KrP
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 Classic
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 51:10 3:4 Luukas Hyvärinen (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 41% → 68%
  2. 57:01 4:4 Peteris Trekse (Classic) Classic's win chance 20% → 58%
  3. OT 01:23 4:5 Luukas Hyvärinen (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 43% → 100%

The line shows Classic's chance to win (top) against Nokian KrP's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
13Games played13
33Points28
2.54Points per Game (PPG)2.15
10Wins8
0Losses3
0 OT/PS Wins 2
3 OT/PS Losses 0
5.85Goals per Game (GPG)5.77
3.85Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.85
2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.92
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.80
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W L Last 5 games W L W L W
2.20Points per Game (PPG)1.40
0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
1.86Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0
100.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)33.33
40.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)66.67