Finland 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Mon 13 Apr 2026 787 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 1:1 P3 2:1

Pre-game win probability

69% Nokian KrP
vs
31% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nokian KrP 1808, Oilers 1715) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 52% of this season's games
Nokian KrP 14:16 1:0 Juuso Ahola17:17 1:1 Olli Jokela20:18 1:2 Markus Markkola22:28 2:2 Juuso Ahola47:11 3:2 Mikko Laakso48:28 4:2 Mikko Laakso56:49 4:3 Jasper Auvinen Oilers
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 Nokian KrP
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 20:18 1:2 Markus Markkola (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 33% → 47%
  2. 22:28 2:2 Juuso Ahola (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 52% → 66%
  3. 47:11 3:2 Mikko Laakso (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 61% → 81%

The line shows Nokian KrP's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals0
2Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
6Games played9
15Points15
2.50Points per Game (PPG)1.67
5Wins5
1Losses4
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
6.33Goals per Game (GPG)4.78
3.17Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.0
3.17Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.78
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W L Last 5 games W L W L W
2.40Points per Game (PPG)1.80
2.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.75
4.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.75
57.14Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)57.14
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)16.67