Finland 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Sat 18 Apr 2026
P1 4:3 P2 3:1 P3 3:3

Pre-game win probability

78% Nokian KrP
vs
22% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nokian KrP 1849, Oilers 1673) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 31% of this season's games
Nokian KrP 01:39 1:0 Luukas Hyvärinen03:12 1:1 Markus Markkola04:15 2:1 Juuso Ahola06:55 3:1 Juuso Ahola11:31 3:2 Elias Pekari13:19 4:2 Luukas Hyvärinen14:27 4:3 Elias Pekari26:48 5:3 Olli Arkkila28:47 6:3 Kim Hyrkkönen30:52 7:3 Valtteri Viitakoski32:28 7:4 Lauri Eloluoto47:46 8:4 Juuso Ahola54:53 9:4 Kim Hyrkkönen56:16 9:5 Markus Salmi57:03 9:6 Jasper Auvinen58:47 9:7 Jasper Auvinen59:50 10:7 Mikko Laakso Oilers
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
5 Nokian KrP
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 03:12 1:1 Markus Markkola (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 13% → 20%
  2. 04:15 2:1 Juuso Ahola (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 80% → 87%
  3. 26:48 5:3 Olli Arkkila (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 84% → 91%

The line shows Nokian KrP's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead0
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes1
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
8Games played11
21Points15
2.62Points per Game (PPG)1.36
7Wins5
1Losses6
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
5.88Goals per Game (GPG)4.36
3.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.09
2.88Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.27
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W W Last 5 games W L W L L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)1.20
0.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.60
3.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.80
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)70.0
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)12.50