Finland 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Thu 09 Apr 2026 767 spectators
P1 2:1 P2 4:1 P3 0:3

Pre-game win probability

81% Nokian KrP
vs
19% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nokian KrP 1862, Oilers 1661) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 24% of this season's games
Nokian KrP 01:07 1:0 Kim Hyrkkönen05:35 1:1 Markus Salmi19:23 2:1 Mikko Laakso28:55 3:1 Juuso Ahola33:13 4:1 Kim Hyrkkönen34:59 5:1 Nico Jonaeson35:37 5:2 Markus Markkola39:50 6:2 Juuso Ahola41:22 6:3 Markus Markkola57:00 6:4 Lauri Eloluoto59:04 6:5 Lauri Eloluoto Oilers
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 Nokian KrP
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 05:35 1:1 Markus Salmi (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 12% → 18%
  2. 19:23 2:1 Mikko Laakso (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 78% → 86%
  3. 28:55 3:1 Juuso Ahola (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 85% → 92%

The line shows Nokian KrP's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead0
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played7
12Points12
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.71
4Wins4
0Losses3
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
7.25Goals per Game (GPG)4.57
2.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.86
5.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.71
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.50Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W Last 5 games L W W L W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.80
5.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.0
6.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.67
66.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
71.43Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)25.0