Finland 26/27 Regular Season Final Fri 18 Sep 2026 782 spectators
P1 3:2 P2 3:0 P3 4:2

Pre-game win probability

79% Oilers
vs
21% Hawks

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Oilers 1671, Hawks 1491) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 38% of this season's games
Oilers 02:45 1:0 Waltteri Vesterinen03:20 1:1 Emil Karkulowski05:45 2:1 Markus Salmi08:08 2:2 Felix Skand09:31 3:2 Markus Salmi32:11 4:2 Elias Pekari33:15 5:2 Oliver Sillanpää34:34 6:2 Eetu Sorvali45:02 7:2 Aaro Astala46:54 8:2 Niko Laiti47:09 9:2 Elias Pekari48:19 10:2 Oliver Sillanpää50:42 10:3 Justus Savolainen56:08 10:4 Leo Tiittala Hawks
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
8 Oilers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 08:08 2:2 Felix Skand (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 13% → 20%
  2. 09:31 3:2 Markus Salmi (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 79% → 86%
  3. 32:11 4:2 Elias Pekari (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 84% → 91%

The line shows Oilers's chance to win (top) against Hawks's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead0
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
1Games played1
3Points3
3.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
1Wins1
0Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
14.0Goals per Game (GPG)3.0
3.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)2.0
11.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0
5.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)4.0
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W Last 5 games W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
11.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
11.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
80.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33