Finland 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Sat 11 Apr 2026 774 spectators
P1 3:1 P2 1:0 P3 2:2

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 27%
27% Oilers
vs
73% Nokian KrP

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Oilers 1654, Nokian KrP 1869) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 60% of this season's games
Oilers 01:50 1:0 Jasper Auvinen08:37 2:0 Elias Pekari12:07 2:1 Mikko Laakso15:05 3:1 Waltteri Vesterinen34:47 4:1 Markus Salmi44:15 4:2 Kim Hyrkkönen44:36 5:2 Jasper Auvinen52:38 6:2 Elias Pekari56:20 6:3 Joona Rantala Nokian KrP
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
4 Oilers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 12:07 2:1 Mikko Laakso (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 48% → 61%
  2. 15:05 3:1 Waltteri Vesterinen (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 41% → 54%
  3. 34:47 4:1 Markus Salmi (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 68% → 81%

The line shows Oilers's chance to win (top) against Nokian KrP's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
8Games played5
12Points15
1.50Points per Game (PPG)3.0
4Wins5
4Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.62Goals per Game (GPG)7.0
4.12Goals Against per Game (GA/G)2.60
0.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.40
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W L Last 5 games W W W W W
1.80Points per Game (PPG)3.0
0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.25Points per Game (PPG)3.0
1.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.50
20.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
42.86Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)71.43