Finland 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Thu 16 Apr 2026 893 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 1:3 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

40% Oilers
vs
60% Nokian KrP

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Oilers 1703, Nokian KrP 1819) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 29% of this season's games
Oilers 00:25 0:1 Mikko Laakso20:43 0:2 Joona Rantala21:06 0:3 Joona Rantala23:28 1:3 Markus Markkola36:25 1:4 Luukas Hyvärinen45:58 2:4 Joona Hokkanen58:01 2:5 Joona Rantala Nokian KrP
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
3 Nokian KrP
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 00:25 0:1 Mikko Laakso (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 61% → 72%
  2. 20:43 0:2 Joona Rantala (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 72% → 82%
  3. 23:28 1:3 Markus Markkola (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 10% → 17%

The line shows Oilers's chance to win (top) against Nokian KrP's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalties

3 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays3
1Power play goals0
3Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
10Games played7
15Points18
1.50Points per Game (PPG)2.57
5Wins6
5Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.60Goals per Game (GPG)6.0
4.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.14
0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.86
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L W L Last 5 games W W W L W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)2.40
0.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.40Points per Game (PPG)2.0
2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.0
14.29Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)85.71
57.14Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0