Finland 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Sun 29 Mar 2026 581 spectators
P1 3:1 P2 0:1 P3 1:3

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 21%
79% Oilers
vs
21% OLS

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Oilers 1684, OLS 1503) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 74% of this season's games
Oilers 09:36 1:0 Waltteri Vesterinen11:36 1:1 Iiro Savela15:04 2:1 Eetu Sorvali18:46 3:1 Markus Salmi25:05 3:2 Riku Ruonakangas42:57 3:3 Veeti Koivisto43:48 3:4 Olli Lukkari47:47 3:5 Veeti Koivisto58:01 4:5 Jasper Auvinen OLS
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 Oilers
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 43:48 3:4 Olli Lukkari (OLS) OLS's win chance 32% → 53%
  2. 47:47 3:5 Veeti Koivisto (OLS) OLS's win chance 57% → 79%
  3. 58:01 4:5 Jasper Auvinen (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 3% → 20%

The line shows Oilers's chance to win (top) against OLS's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
2Games played2
3Points3
1.50Points per Game (PPG)1.50
1Wins1
1Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
5.0Goals per Game (GPG)4.0
4.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.0
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0
2.50Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.50
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L Last 5 games L W
1.50Points per Game (PPG)1.50
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.0
66.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)33.33
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0