Finland 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Sat 04 Apr 2026 850 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 3:0 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 32%
32% OLS
vs
68% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (OLS 1504, Oilers 1682) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 69% of this season's games
OLS 00:37 0:1 Markus Salmi11:25 0:2 Lauri Eloluoto11:39 1:2 Veeti Koivisto24:17 2:2 Joona Karjula34:51 3:2 Aaro Haverinen38:13 4:2 Petri Niemelä40:50 4:3 Jasper Auvinen50:51 5:3 Veeti Koivisto Oilers
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
2 OLS
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 34:51 3:2 Aaro Haverinen (OLS) OLS's win chance 37% → 55%
  2. 40:50 4:3 Jasper Auvinen (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 24% → 42%
  3. 50:51 5:3 Veeti Koivisto (OLS) OLS's win chance 68% → 87%

The line shows OLS's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills0
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
5Games played5
6Points9
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.80
2Wins3
3Losses2
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.0Goals per Game (GPG)4.80
4.80Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.0
-0.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.80
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W L L Last 5 games W L L W W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.80
-0.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.50Points per Game (PPG)1.50
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0