Finland 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final · OT Sun 29 Mar 2026 921 spectators
P1 2:2 P2 1:2 P3 1:0 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 22%
78% SPV
vs
22% Indians

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (SPV 1675, Indians 1496) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 95% of this season's games
SPV 01:48 1:0 Eemeli Karjanlahti04:15 1:1 Niko Einiö05:41 1:2 Samuli Junnila14:38 2:2 Peter Kotilainen28:24 3:2 Peter Kotilainen30:02 3:3 Jani Rauhala36:50 3:4 Niko Einiö55:12 4:4 Peter KotilainenOT 15:43 4:5 Jere Niemelä Indians
Lead changes
3
Ties
4
Largest lead
1 SPV
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 36:50 3:4 Niko Einiö (Indians) Indians's win chance 29% → 47%
  2. 55:12 4:4 Peter Kotilainen (SPV) SPV's win chance 29% → 64%
  3. OT 15:43 4:5 Jere Niemelä (Indians) Indians's win chance 38% → 100%

The line shows SPV's chance to win (top) against Indians's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalties

0 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays0
1Power play goals0
0Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead3
2Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
2Games played2
2Points4
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0Wins1
1Losses0
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 1
3.0Goals per Game (GPG)3.0
3.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.50

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L Last 5 games L W
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.0
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
100.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0