Finland 26/27 Regular Season Final Tue 22 Sep 2026 403 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 1:0 P3 5:1

Pre-game win probability

52% TPS
vs
48% Hawks

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1442, Hawks 1470) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 65% of this season's games
TPS 07:46 1:0 Eetu Lehtonen15:39 1:1 Tuure Ailio23:12 2:1 Kasper Kulmala44:24 3:1 Veikko Paajanen52:26 3:2 Justus Mustonen54:11 4:2 Veikko Paajanen55:27 5:2 Alex Eklund55:57 6:2 Lari Kujansivu57:19 7:2 Veikko Paajanen Hawks
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
5 TPS
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 23:12 2:1 Kasper Kulmala (TPS) TPS's win chance 52% → 67%
  2. 44:24 3:1 Veikko Paajanen (TPS) TPS's win chance 72% → 87%
  3. 52:26 3:2 Justus Mustonen (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 8% → 22%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against Hawks's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals2
2Penalty kills2
2Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead0
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
2Games played2
0Points3
0.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
0Wins1
2Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
3.50Goals per Game (GPG)3.50
11.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
-7.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50
2.50Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.50

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L Last 5 games W L
0.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
-7.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
-4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.0
14.29Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)25.0