Finland 26/27 Regular Season Final Wed 14 Oct 2026 440 spectators
P1 0:2 P2 1:1 P3 5:0

Pre-game win probability

78% TPS
vs
22% LASB

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1445, LASB 1266) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 81% of this season's games
TPS 00:21 0:1 Santeri Kakko05:09 0:2 Aapo Hämäläinen23:47 0:3 Samuel Suutari26:44 1:3 Eero Jalo41:39 2:3 Alex Eklund42:24 3:3 Eetu Lehtonen42:57 4:3 Alex Eklund45:44 5:3 Veikko Paajanen59:22 6:3 Kasper Kulmala LASB
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 TPS
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 41:39 2:3 Alex Eklund (TPS) TPS's win chance 29% → 49%
  2. 42:24 3:3 Eetu Lehtonen (TPS) TPS's win chance 48% → 69%
  3. 42:57 4:3 Alex Eklund (TPS) TPS's win chance 69% → 84%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against LASB's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
6Games played5
3Points0
0.50Points per Game (PPG)0.0
1Wins0
5Losses5
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
3.83Goals per Game (GPG)2.20
7.33Goals Against per Game (GA/G)7.0
-3.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.80
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
1.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L L Last 5 games L L L L L
0.60Points per Game (PPG)0.0
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
-2.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.67
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)40.0
12.50Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0