Finland 26/27 Regular Season Final · OT Fri 23 Oct 2026 788 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 0:0 P3 1:0 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 14%
14% TPS
vs
86% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (TPS 1461, Oilers 1819) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 71% of this season's games
TPS 00:20 0:1 Lauri Eloluoto03:16 0:2 Markus Salmi19:38 1:2 Valtteri Molkka56:17 2:2 Marius SuominenOT 05:00 3:2 Elias Haataja Oilers
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
2 Oilers
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 56:17 2:2 Marius Suominen (TPS) TPS's win chance 8% → 31%
  2. OT 05:00 3:2 Elias Haataja (TPS) TPS's win chance 33% → 100%

The line shows TPS's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills3
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
7Games played6
6Points18
0.86Points per Game (PPG)3.0
2Wins6
5Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.14Goals per Game (GPG)11.0
6.71Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.0
-2.57Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)8.0
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L W Last 5 games W W W W W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)7.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.50Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.50
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
25.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33