Switzerland 25/26 Regular Season Final · PS Fri 16 Jan 2026 1108 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 3:1 P3 0:0 OT 0:0PS 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 23%
77% HC Rychenberg Winterthur
vs
23% Grasshopper Club Zürich

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (HC Rychenberg Winterthur 1526, Grasshopper Club Zürich 1363) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 78% of this season's games
HC Rychenberg Winterthur 07:32 0:1 Tommy Bolin21:44 1:1 Dani Jaaranen28:02 1:2 Timon Stäubli32:41 2:2 Loïc Aurel Ammann36:30 3:2 Loïc Aurel Ammann Grasshopper Club Zürich
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
1 HC Rychenberg Winterthur
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 28:02 1:2 Timon Stäubli (Grasshopper Club Zürich) Grasshopper Club Zürich's win chance 28% → 43%
  2. 32:41 2:2 Loïc Aurel Ammann (HC Rychenberg Winterthur) HC Rychenberg Winterthur's win chance 55% → 71%
  3. 36:30 3:2 Loïc Aurel Ammann (HC Rychenberg Winterthur) HC Rychenberg Winterthur's win chance 69% → 83%

The line shows HC Rychenberg Winterthur's chance to win (top) against Grasshopper Club Zürich's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
16Games played16
25Points16
1.56Points per Game (PPG)1.0
6Wins4
5Losses9
2 OT/PS Wins 1
3 OT/PS Losses 2
6.06Goals per Game (GPG)4.44
5.69Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.12
0.38Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.69
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W L Last 5 games L L L L W
1.60Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.12
1.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.75
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
71.43Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)18.18