Czech Republic 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 29 Mar 2026 417 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 0:0 P3 3:1

Pre-game win probability

47% Florbal Ústí
vs
53% FBC Liberec

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Florbal Ústí 1209, FBC Liberec 1276) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 48% of this season's games
Florbal Ústí 01:52 0:1 Daniel Péc10:46 1:1 Tomi Mielonen46:55 2:1 Aleš Vlach50:26 3:1 Dan Semerád57:25 4:1 Atte Oskari Vaïsänen58:41 4:2 Martin Horn FBC Liberec
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 Florbal Ústí
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 10:46 1:1 Tomi Mielonen (Florbal Ústí) Florbal Ústí's win chance 34% → 47%
  2. 46:55 2:1 Aleš Vlach (Florbal Ústí) Florbal Ústí's win chance 48% → 71%
  3. 50:26 3:1 Dan Semerád (Florbal Ústí) Florbal Ústí's win chance 74% → 90%

The line shows Florbal Ústí's chance to win (top) against FBC Liberec's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

3 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
29Games played29
14Points27
0.48Points per Game (PPG)0.93
4Wins8
24Losses18
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 3
3.41Goals per Game (GPG)5.38
7.86Goals Against per Game (GA/G)7.48
-4.45Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.10
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.80
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W W W Last 5 games L W L L L
1.60Points per Game (PPG)0.80
-2.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.57Points per Game (PPG)0.86
-3.93Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.14
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)55.56