25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 28 Sep 2025 153 spectators
SC Potsdam Home
4:9
DJK Holzbüttgen Away
P1 1:1 P2 2:4 P3 1:4

Pre-game win probability

41% SC Potsdam
vs
59% DJK Holzbüttgen

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (SC Potsdam 1424, DJK Holzbüttgen 1530) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 56% of this season's games
SC Potsdam 00:25 0:1 Jarno Pensikkala17:52 1:1 Atte Ronkanen22:24 2:1 Janne Makkonen25:22 3:1 Janne Makkonen29:45 3:2 Luis Mehler35:26 3:3 Martin Krametter36:27 3:4 Joona Heiskanen38:34 3:5 Jarno Pensikkala43:21 4:5 Jere Hiironen48:40 4:6 Joona Heiskanen53:53 4:7 Own goal57:10 4:8 Jarno Pensikkala59:54 4:9 Lasse Vallema DJK Holzbüttgen
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
5 DJK Holzbüttgen
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 22:24 2:1 Janne Makkonen (SC Potsdam) SC Potsdam's win chance 42% → 57%
  2. 35:26 3:3 Martin Krametter (DJK Holzbüttgen) DJK Holzbüttgen's win chance 38% → 56%
  3. 36:27 3:4 Joona Heiskanen (DJK Holzbüttgen) DJK Holzbüttgen's win chance 56% → 73%

The line shows SC Potsdam's chance to win (top) against DJK Holzbüttgen's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 60.0

Penalty kill efficiency

40.0 / 66.67

Penalties

5 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays5
1Power play goals3
5Penalty kills3
3Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
52 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
3Games played3
1Points6
0.33Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0Wins2
2Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 0
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.67Goals per Game (GPG)7.33
8.67Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.33
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.67
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.33

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L Last 5 games W L W
0.33Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.33

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.50Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-3.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.0
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)87.50
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0