25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 11 Oct 2025 35 spectators
SC Potsdam Home
10:9
ETV Piranhhas Hamburg Away
P1 4:1 P2 0:6 P3 6:2

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 31%
31% SC Potsdam
vs
69% ETV Piranhhas Hamburg

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (SC Potsdam 1342, ETV Piranhhas Hamburg 1528) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 92% of this season's games
SC Potsdam 06:54 1:0 Janne Makkonen07:41 2:0 Anton Sehorcz09:02 3:0 Jasu Lind12:02 3:1 Felix Braun14:06 4:1 Jasu Lind20:21 4:2 Luca Vogel22:49 4:3 Felix Braun23:18 4:4 Flemming Per Kühl25:42 4:5 Flemming Per Kühl33:50 4:6 Leon Adelmann35:02 4:7 Birger Dethlefsen42:07 5:7 Henry Mettovaara47:00 5:8 Luca Vogel48:29 5:9 Felix Braun49:37 6:9 Janne Makkonen53:33 7:9 Henry Mettovaara55:45 8:9 Janne Makkonen59:24 9:9 Jere Hiironen59:59 10:9 Jere Hiironen ETV Piranhhas Hamburg
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
4 ETV Piranhhas Hamburg
Comeback
4 goals down

Key moments

  1. 22:49 4:3 Felix Braun (ETV Piranhhas Hamburg) ETV Piranhhas Hamburg's win chance 38% → 52%
  2. 59:24 9:9 Jere Hiironen (SC Potsdam) SC Potsdam's win chance 6% → 42%
  3. 59:59 10:9 Jere Hiironen (SC Potsdam) SC Potsdam's win chance 42% → 92%

The line shows SC Potsdam's chance to win (top) against ETV Piranhhas Hamburg's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
5Games played4
1Points8
0.20Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0Wins2
4Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
4.60Goals per Game (GPG)5.25
9.40Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.0
-4.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.25
3.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
1.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games L W W W
0.20Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-4.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.25

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.33Points per Game (PPG)1.0
-4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.50
37.50Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
40.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0