25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 16 Nov 2025 143 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 0:3 P3 5:0

Pre-game win probability

76% MFBC Leipzig
vs
24% Berlin Rockets

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (MFBC Leipzig 1505, Berlin Rockets 1354) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 66% of this season's games
MFBC Leipzig 09:14 1:0 Mark-Oliver Bothe18:07 1:1 Marten Bonk21:44 1:2 Tim Sigmund23:16 1:3 Tim Sigmund38:53 1:4 Luca Invernizzi47:03 2:4 Tuomas Saikkonen50:05 3:4 Lovis Sturm50:14 4:4 Luca Winter51:06 5:4 Tuomas Saikkonen53:44 6:4 Own goal Berlin Rockets
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 Berlin Rockets
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 50:05 3:4 Lovis Sturm (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 17% → 37%
  2. 50:14 4:4 Luca Winter (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 37% → 64%
  3. 51:06 5:4 Tuomas Saikkonen (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 64% → 85%

The line shows MFBC Leipzig's chance to win (top) against Berlin Rockets's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 25.0

Penalty kill efficiency

75.0 / 66.67

Penalties

3 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays4
1Power play goals1
4Penalty kills3
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes3
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
8Games played8
15Points5
1.88Points per Game (PPG)0.62
5Wins1
3Losses5
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 2
4.38Goals per Game (GPG)4.12
4.62Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.50
-0.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.38
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W L Last 5 games W L L L L
1.80Points per Game (PPG)0.80
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.25Points per Game (PPG)1.33
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.67
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
57.14Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)60.0