25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 17 Jan 2026 84 spectators
P1 1:3 P2 3:2 P3 4:1

Pre-game win probability

67% MFBC Leipzig
vs
33% DJK Holzbüttgen

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (MFBC Leipzig 1583, DJK Holzbüttgen 1507) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 88% of this season's games
MFBC Leipzig 03:16 0:1 Leo Häfner03:51 0:2 Niko Latvakoski07:31 0:3 Jarno Pensikkala13:01 1:3 Svenson Hoppe22:19 2:3 Tuomas Saikkonen31:14 2:4 Joona Heiskanen33:06 2:5 Leo Häfner36:55 3:5 Mark-Oliver Bothe38:55 4:5 Tuomas Saikkonen41:38 5:5 Mark-Oliver Bothe45:35 5:6 Jarno Pensikkala47:07 6:6 Mark-Oliver Bothe55:34 7:6 Mark-Oliver Bothe59:59 8:6 Iven Teßmann DJK Holzbüttgen
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 DJK Holzbüttgen
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 45:35 5:6 Jarno Pensikkala (DJK Holzbüttgen) DJK Holzbüttgen's win chance 40% → 63%
  2. 47:07 6:6 Mark-Oliver Bothe (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 36% → 60%
  3. 55:34 7:6 Mark-Oliver Bothe (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 58% → 86%

The line shows MFBC Leipzig's chance to win (top) against DJK Holzbüttgen's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

40.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 60.0

Penalties

1 / 5

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
5Power plays1
2Power play goals1
1Penalty kills5
1Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes5
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
12Games played12
26Points21
2.17Points per Game (PPG)1.75
8Wins6
3Losses4
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 1
5.0Goals per Game (GPG)6.92
4.42Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.17
0.58Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.75
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W W W Last 5 games W L L L W
2.20Points per Game (PPG)1.40
1.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.50Points per Game (PPG)1.67
0.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.50
28.57Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)63.64
40.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)41.67