25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 24 Jan 2026 95 spectators
P1 2:3 P2 2:4 P3 2:2

Pre-game win probability

20% SC Potsdam
vs
80% MFBC Leipzig

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (SC Potsdam 1316, MFBC Leipzig 1603) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 40% of this season's games
SC Potsdam 00:21 0:1 Mark-Oliver Bothe02:45 0:2 Mark-Oliver Bothe08:24 0:3 Tuomas Saikkonen10:49 1:3 Atte Ronkanen11:39 2:3 Janne Makkonen20:26 3:3 Janne Makkonen26:53 4:3 Joona Nieminen29:50 4:4 Svenson Hoppe33:34 4:5 Jonas Damm38:13 4:6 Benedikt Richardon38:47 4:7 Mark-Oliver Bothe40:53 5:7 David Mix45:00 6:7 Jere Hiironen45:34 6:8 Iven Teßmann59:40 6:9 Benedikt Richardon MFBC Leipzig
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 MFBC Leipzig
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 26:53 4:3 Joona Nieminen (SC Potsdam) SC Potsdam's win chance 25% → 38%
  2. 29:50 4:4 Svenson Hoppe (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 60% → 74%
  3. 33:34 4:5 Jonas Damm (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 73% → 85%

The line shows SC Potsdam's chance to win (top) against MFBC Leipzig's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
14Games played14
9Points31
0.64Points per Game (PPG)2.21
2Wins9
10Losses3
1 OT/PS Wins 2
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.43Goals per Game (GPG)5.21
8.21Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.50
-2.79Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.71
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games W W W W W
0.0Points per Game (PPG)2.60
-3.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)1.83
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.67
16.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)37.50
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)41.67