25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 21 Feb 2026 73 spectators
P1 2:0 P2 1:0 P3 4:0

Pre-game win probability

82% MFBC Leipzig
vs
18% Blau-Weiß 96 Schenefeld

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (MFBC Leipzig 1617, Blau-Weiß 96 Schenefeld 1397) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 6% of this season's games
MFBC Leipzig 04:30 1:0 Rasmus Nieminen17:38 2:0 Felix Linke30:50 3:0 Antti Koistinen44:21 4:0 Own goal48:23 5:0 Arian Trützschler49:26 6:0 Mark-Oliver Bothe50:01 7:0 Lovis Sturm Blau-Weiß 96 Schenefeld
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
7 MFBC Leipzig
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 04:30 1:0 Rasmus Nieminen (MFBC Leipzig) MFBC Leipzig's win chance 84% → 90%

The line shows MFBC Leipzig's chance to win (top) against Blau-Weiß 96 Schenefeld's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
15Games played14
34Points15
2.27Points per Game (PPG)1.07
10Wins3
3Losses7
2 OT/PS Wins 2
0 OT/PS Losses 2
5.47Goals per Game (GPG)4.93
4.60Goals Against per Game (GA/G)7.07
0.87Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.14
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L L W L W
2.60Points per Game (PPG)1.0
1.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.50Points per Game (PPG)1.14
0.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.86
45.45Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)33.33
42.86Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)60.0