Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 07 Mar 2026 618 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 1:2 P3 1:3

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 29%
71% EräViikingit
vs
29% Hawks

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (EräViikingit 1477, Hawks 1365) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 86% of this season's games
EräViikingit 01:18 0:1 Tuure Ailio15:49 1:1 Otto Ukskoski23:42 1:2 Antti Aarnio29:25 1:3 Samuli Pilloud31:45 2:3 Juuso Möttönen51:55 2:4 Sakari Kataja-Rahko53:36 3:4 Elmeri Haveri59:30 3:5 Felix Skand59:36 3:6 Sakari Kataja-Rahko Hawks
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 Hawks
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 31:45 2:3 Juuso Möttönen (EräViikingit) EräViikingit's win chance 33% → 50%
  2. 51:55 2:4 Sakari Kataja-Rahko (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 68% → 88%
  3. 53:36 3:4 Elmeri Haveri (EräViikingit) EräViikingit's win chance 10% → 29%

The line shows EräViikingit's chance to win (top) against Hawks's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
29Games played29
40Points29
1.38Points per Game (PPG)1.0
9Wins7
12Losses14
5 OT/PS Wins 0
3 OT/PS Losses 8
4.76Goals per Game (GPG)3.38
5.59Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.10
-0.83Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.72
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W L L Last 5 games W L W L L
1.80Points per Game (PPG)1.40
-0.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.71
-1.36Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.64
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)40.0
87.50Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0