Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Thu 15 Jan 2026 2190 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 4:2 P3 2:6

Pre-game win probability

29% EräViikingit
vs
71% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (EräViikingit 1504, Oilers 1705) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 92% of this season's games
EräViikingit 11:21 1:0 Juuso Möttönen21:24 2:0 Elmeri Haveri21:41 3:0 Leo Tiittala24:19 4:0 Elmeri Haveri32:43 4:1 Joona Hokkanen37:30 4:2 Eetu Sorvali38:50 5:2 Benjamin Tenhonen41:40 5:3 Elias Pekari42:33 5:4 Joona Hokkanen45:02 5:5 Joona Hokkanen49:02 5:6 Jesperi Lindfors51:20 5:7 Antti Suomela51:54 5:8 Arttu Haapala55:58 6:8 Elmeri Haveri59:16 7:8 Miko Vaarimo Oilers
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 EräViikingit
Comeback
4 goals down

Key moments

  1. 42:33 5:4 Joona Hokkanen (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 24% → 42%
  2. 45:02 5:5 Joona Hokkanen (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 40% → 63%
  3. 49:02 5:6 Jesperi Lindfors (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 62% → 82%

The line shows EräViikingit's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
0Power play goals2
2Penalty kills1
2Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
22Games played22
31Points53
1.41Points per Game (PPG)2.41
7Wins17
9Losses4
4 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 0
4.59Goals per Game (GPG)7.91
5.09Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.95
-0.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.95
2.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games W W W L L
2.60Points per Game (PPG)1.80
2.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)2.25
-1.64Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.92
75.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
54.55Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0