Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 18 Mar 2026 347 spectators
P1 2:3 P2 0:1 P3 0:3

Pre-game win probability

11% FBC Turku
vs
89% Hawks

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBC Turku 1061, Hawks 1461) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 30% of this season's games
FBC Turku 05:15 0:1 Sakari Kataja-Rahko08:17 1:1 Sami Tuominen10:38 2:1 Akseli Pöyhtäri13:42 2:2 Samuli Pilloud19:36 2:3 Emil Kallio20:36 2:4 Sakari Kataja-Rahko40:11 2:5 Felix Skand50:11 2:6 Felix Skand57:18 2:7 Aaro Pohjanmaa Hawks
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
5 Hawks
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 10:38 2:1 Akseli Pöyhtäri (FBC Turku) FBC Turku's win chance 11% → 18%
  2. 13:42 2:2 Samuli Pilloud (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 81% → 88%
  3. 19:36 2:3 Emil Kallio (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 86% → 92%

The line shows FBC Turku's chance to win (top) against Hawks's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 100.0

Penalties

0 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
31Games played31
6Points35
0.19Points per Game (PPG)1.13
1Wins9
28Losses14
1 OT/PS Wins 0
1 OT/PS Losses 8
3.19Goals per Game (GPG)3.58
8.06Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.94
-4.87Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.35
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.80
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games W L L W W
0.0Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-4.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.13Points per Game (PPG)0.87
-5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.20
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)25.0
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0