Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sun 12 Oct 2025 378 spectators
P1 2:1 P2 1:1 P3 1:2 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 33%
33% FBC Turku
vs
67% OLS

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBC Turku 1348, OLS 1515) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 97% of this season's games
FBC Turku 08:37 1:0 Eero Kuutsa15:51 2:0 Marius Suominen19:55 2:1 Eetu Tolonen21:40 2:2 Veeti Koivisto34:39 3:2 Matias Kallio51:58 3:3 Eetu Ijäs54:18 4:3 Marius Suominen56:53 4:4 Joona KarjulaOT 05:00 5:4 Unknown OLS
Lead changes
0
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 FBC Turku
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 54:18 4:3 Marius Suominen (FBC Turku) FBC Turku's win chance 42% → 74%
  2. 56:53 4:4 Joona Karjula (OLS) OLS's win chance 20% → 57%
  3. OT 05:00 5:4 Unknown (FBC Turku) FBC Turku's win chance 43% → 100%

The line shows FBC Turku's chance to win (top) against OLS's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 50.0

Penalties

3 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays3
1Power play goals3
3Penalty kills2
3Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
4Take the Lead0
0Equalizers3
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played6
0Points10
0.0Points per Game (PPG)1.67
0Wins3
4Losses2
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 1
2.75Goals per Game (GPG)5.33
8.25Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.67
-5.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.67
0.75Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.50Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L Last 5 games L W L W L
0.0Points per Game (PPG)1.40
-5.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
-5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.50
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)42.86