Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 02 Jan 2026 1075 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 2:2 P3 1:2

Pre-game win probability

20% FBC Turku
vs
80% TPS

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBC Turku 1122, TPS 1410) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 80% of this season's games
FBC Turku 06:28 1:0 Iiro Jurvainen11:47 1:1 Aatu Koivisto21:54 2:1 Jesper Hakola25:36 2:2 Nikolas Saarinen32:00 3:2 Matias Kallio38:01 3:3 Kasper Kulmala42:38 3:4 verneri Tuononen43:17 4:4 Jesper Hakola45:09 4:5 Eetu Lehtonen TPS
Lead changes
1
Ties
4
Largest lead
1 FBC Turku
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 32:00 3:2 Matias Kallio (FBC Turku) FBC Turku's win chance 26% → 41%
  2. 38:01 3:3 Kasper Kulmala (TPS) TPS's win chance 54% → 72%
  3. 45:09 4:5 Eetu Lehtonen (TPS) TPS's win chance 69% → 85%

The line shows FBC Turku's chance to win (top) against TPS's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills0
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead2
1Equalizers3
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
19Games played18
5Points19
0.26Points per Game (PPG)1.06
1Wins5
17Losses11
1 OT/PS Wins 2
0 OT/PS Losses 0
3.0Goals per Game (GPG)3.67
8.05Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
-5.05Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.33
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.40
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games L W L L W
0.0Points per Game (PPG)1.0
-4.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.20Points per Game (PPG)1.10
-5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.80
42.86Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)57.14
25.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)63.64