Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 11 Jan 2026 295 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 2:1 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

84% Hawks
vs
16% FBC Turku

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Hawks 1348, FBC Turku 1109) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 37% of this season's games
Hawks 00:07 1:0 Felix Skand25:46 1:1 Mikael Fredriksson27:49 2:1 Emil Kallio29:05 3:1 Teemu Arkkila58:29 3:2 Matias Kallio59:43 4:2 Samuli Pilloud FBC Turku
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
2 Hawks
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 25:46 1:1 Mikael Fredriksson (FBC Turku) FBC Turku's win chance 12% → 21%
  2. 27:49 2:1 Emil Kallio (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 79% → 88%
  3. 29:05 3:1 Teemu Arkkila (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 87% → 93%

The line shows Hawks's chance to win (top) against FBC Turku's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

2 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead0
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
21Games played21
19Points5
0.90Points per Game (PPG)0.24
4Wins1
10Losses19
0 OT/PS Wins 1
7 OT/PS Losses 0
3.05Goals per Game (GPG)3.0
5.71Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.10
-2.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.10
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.80
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L L Last 5 games L L L L L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)0.0
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.33Points per Game (PPG)0.30
-0.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.60
45.45Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)25.0
55.56Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0