Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 14 Mar 2026 347 spectators
P1 3:3 P2 2:0 P3 2:1

Pre-game win probability

52% Hawks
vs
48% Indians

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Hawks 1425, Indians 1453) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 74% of this season's games
Hawks 02:24 1:0 Emil Kallio03:30 1:1 Leevi Auranen04:04 1:2 Eero Harjula09:36 2:2 Aake Sorjonen13:21 3:2 Justus Savolainen19:08 3:3 Tatu Havula25:50 4:3 Emil Kallio38:28 5:3 Sakari Kataja-Rahko53:40 6:3 Luukas Huolman53:49 6:4 Juuso Kekki59:09 7:4 Felix Skand Indians
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
3 Hawks
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 19:08 3:3 Tatu Havula (Indians) Indians's win chance 34% → 48%
  2. 25:50 4:3 Emil Kallio (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 52% → 67%
  3. 38:28 5:3 Sakari Kataja-Rahko (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 70% → 83%

The line shows Hawks's chance to win (top) against Indians's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead1
1Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
30Games played30
32Points53
1.07Points per Game (PPG)1.77
8Wins15
14Losses9
0 OT/PS Wins 2
8 OT/PS Losses 4
3.47Goals per Game (GPG)4.83
6.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.93
-2.53Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.90
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L W Last 5 games L L W L W
1.40Points per Game (PPG)1.20
-1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.27Points per Game (PPG)2.07
-1.87Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.80
42.86Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)44.44
20.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33