Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 14 Feb 2026 287 spectators
P1 3:3 P2 1:0 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

68% Hawks
vs
32% Jymy

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Hawks 1365, Jymy 1281) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 66% of this season's games
Hawks 06:52 1:0 Felix Skand07:02 2:0 Kalle Laakso07:16 2:1 Matias Mäenpää10:02 2:2 Karri Vaarala16:53 3:2 Rasmus Vanhala19:59 3:3 Niklas Äijälä30:44 4:3 Felix Skand50:15 5:3 Antti Aarnio59:35 5:4 Oskari Tenho Jymy
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 Hawks
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 19:59 3:3 Niklas Äijälä (Jymy) Jymy's win chance 22% → 34%
  2. 30:44 4:3 Felix Skand (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 64% → 77%
  3. 50:15 5:3 Antti Aarnio (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 82% → 93%

The line shows Hawks's chance to win (top) against Jymy's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead0
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
26Games played25
25Points14
0.96Points per Game (PPG)0.56
6Wins4
13Losses20
0 OT/PS Wins 1
7 OT/PS Losses 0
3.12Goals per Game (GPG)4.12
5.96Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.68
-2.85Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.56
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L W L Last 5 games L L W L L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-3.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.25Points per Game (PPG)0.27
-1.92Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.55
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)33.33
55.56Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)77.78