Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 11 Oct 2025 398 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 3:0 P3 1:2

Pre-game win probability

52% Hawks
vs
48% TPS

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Hawks 1449, TPS 1477) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 40% of this season's games
Hawks 03:06 1:0 Unknown24:30 2:0 Felix Skand30:07 3:0 Felix Skand37:25 4:0 Sakari Kataja-Rahko40:56 4:1 Alex Eklund49:11 5:1 Aaro Pohjanmaa58:03 5:2 Veikko Paajanen TPS
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
4 Hawks
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 03:06 1:0 Unknown (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 53% → 65%
  2. 24:30 2:0 Felix Skand (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 67% → 79%
  3. 30:07 3:0 Felix Skand (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 80% → 89%

The line shows Hawks's chance to win (top) against TPS's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
7Games played4
6Points5
0.86Points per Game (PPG)1.25
1Wins1
3Losses2
0 OT/PS Wins 1
3 OT/PS Losses 0
4.57Goals per Game (GPG)3.75
6.14Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.25
-1.57Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.50
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.25
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.50

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games L W W L
0.40Points per Game (PPG)1.25
-3.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.50

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.33Points per Game (PPG)1.50
1.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
28.57Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)60.0
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)16.67