Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 30 Jan 2026 544 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 0:2 P3 1:3

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 28%
72% Indians
vs
28% TPS

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Indians 1522, TPS 1400) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 59% of this season's games
Indians 10:47 1:0 Niko Einiö21:17 1:1 Juho Koskinen29:28 1:2 Aatu Koivisto41:49 1:3 Juho Koskinen45:29 1:4 Kasper Kulmala49:50 1:5 Juho Koskinen57:27 2:5 Joonatan Lindholm TPS
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 TPS
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 29:28 1:2 Aatu Koivisto (TPS) TPS's win chance 32% → 48%
  2. 41:49 1:3 Juho Koskinen (TPS) TPS's win chance 56% → 75%
  3. 45:29 1:4 Kasper Kulmala (TPS) TPS's win chance 79% → 90%

The line shows Indians's chance to win (top) against TPS's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays3
0Power play goals0
3Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
24Games played24
47Points26
1.96Points per Game (PPG)1.08
14Wins6
6Losses13
1 OT/PS Wins 3
3 OT/PS Losses 2
5.0Goals per Game (GPG)3.58
3.54Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.83
1.46Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.25
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games L W L L L
0.60Points per Game (PPG)0.80
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.58Points per Game (PPG)1.17
0.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.83
66.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)62.50
83.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)11.11