Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 09 Jan 2026 519 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 0:4 P3 3:2

Pre-game win probability

36% Jymy
vs
64% EräViikingit

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Jymy 1334, EräViikingit 1477) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 57% of this season's games
Jymy 11:16 1:0 Jonatan Leskinen15:25 1:1 Miro Mertanen26:42 1:2 Juuso Möttönen28:16 1:3 Miko Vaarimo30:30 1:4 Miko Vaarimo31:42 1:5 Juuso Möttönen41:45 1:6 Ilmari Aarela45:21 2:6 Julius Koitto47:01 3:6 Julius Koitto48:23 4:6 Oskari Tenho57:56 4:7 Elmeri Haveri EräViikingit
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
5 EräViikingit
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 11:16 1:0 Jonatan Leskinen (Jymy) Jymy's win chance 36% → 49%
  2. 15:25 1:1 Miro Mertanen (EräViikingit) EräViikingit's win chance 50% → 63%
  3. 26:42 1:2 Juuso Möttönen (EräViikingit) EräViikingit's win chance 61% → 75%

The line shows Jymy's chance to win (top) against EräViikingit's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
1Power play goals2
2Penalty kills1
2Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
19Games played21
11Points28
0.58Points per Game (PPG)1.33
3Wins6
15Losses9
1 OT/PS Wins 4
0 OT/PS Losses 2
4.05Goals per Game (GPG)4.48
6.68Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.14
-2.63Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.67
3.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.0
2.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L L Last 5 games L W W W W
0.60Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-3.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.80Points per Game (PPG)1.70
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.40
20.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)58.33
20.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)66.67