Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 11 Feb 2026 417 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 2:0 P3 4:1

Pre-game win probability

91% Nokian KrP
vs
9% Hawks

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nokian KrP 1738, Hawks 1371) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 38% of this season's games
Nokian KrP 01:43 0:1 Sakari Kataja-Rahko23:56 1:1 Mikko Laakso24:39 2:1 Olli Arkkila44:59 3:1 Luukas Hyvärinen51:28 3:2 Aaro Pohjanmaa51:51 4:2 Kim Hyrkkönen58:57 5:2 Mikko Laakso59:52 6:2 Joona Rantala Hawks
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 Nokian KrP
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 23:56 1:1 Mikko Laakso (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 80% → 88%
  2. 51:28 3:2 Aaro Pohjanmaa (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 3% → 9%
  3. 51:51 4:2 Kim Hyrkkönen (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 91% → 97%

The line shows Nokian KrP's chance to win (top) against Hawks's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
25Games played25
56Points25
2.24Points per Game (PPG)1.0
17Wins6
5Losses12
2 OT/PS Wins 0
1 OT/PS Losses 7
7.28Goals per Game (GPG)3.16
4.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.96
3.28Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.80
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W L Last 5 games L W L L W
2.20Points per Game (PPG)1.40
5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.31Points per Game (PPG)0.77
4.31Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.62
80.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
80.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33