Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 09 Jan 2026 607 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 2:1 P3 4:0

Pre-game win probability

40% Nokian KrP
vs
60% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Nokian KrP 1679, Oilers 1795) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 72% of this season's games
Nokian KrP 18:24 0:1 Markus Salmi32:01 1:1 Mikko Laakso35:18 2:1 Joona Rantala39:43 2:2 Eetu Sorvali56:21 3:2 Kim Hyrkkönen58:22 4:2 Joonatan Kovanen59:08 5:2 Valtteri Viitakoski59:28 6:2 Mikko Laakso Oilers
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
4 Nokian KrP
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 35:18 2:1 Joona Rantala (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 43% → 61%
  2. 39:43 2:2 Eetu Sorvali (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 37% → 57%
  3. 56:21 3:2 Kim Hyrkkönen (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 46% → 81%

The line shows Nokian KrP's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
19Games played20
42Points53
2.21Points per Game (PPG)2.65
13Wins17
4Losses2
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
6.95Goals per Game (GPG)8.30
4.16Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.60
2.79Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.70
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W L W Last 5 games W W W W W
2.20Points per Game (PPG)3.0
1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.18Points per Game (PPG)2.70
3.82Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.20
54.55Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
57.14Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)45.45