Finland 26/27 Regular Season Final Fri 02 Oct 2026 624 spectators
P1 2:1 P2 2:1 P3 6:2

Pre-game win probability

39% Oilers
vs
61% Nokian KrP

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Oilers 1726, Nokian KrP 1850) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 77% of this season's games
Oilers 03:26 1:0 Jasper Auvinen07:15 1:1 Topias Simonen14:19 2:1 Jasper Auvinen21:04 2:2 Topias Simonen25:11 3:2 Markus Salmi36:02 4:2 Elias Pekari40:27 5:2 Aaro Astala41:49 5:3 Jose Saarainen49:24 6:3 Antti Suomela51:16 7:3 Jasper Auvinen53:50 8:3 Jasper Auvinen54:15 8:4 Adam Zubek57:06 9:4 Tuomas Ojala58:15 10:4 Santeri Lindfors Nokian KrP
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
6 Oilers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 21:04 2:2 Topias Simonen (Nokian KrP) Nokian KrP's win chance 45% → 60%
  2. 25:11 3:2 Markus Salmi (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 41% → 56%
  3. 36:02 4:2 Elias Pekari (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 61% → 76%

The line shows Oilers's chance to win (top) against Nokian KrP's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
1Power play goals0
2Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead0
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
3Games played4
9Points12
3.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
3Wins4
0Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
12.0Goals per Game (GPG)9.25
3.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.0
9.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.25
2.33Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.25
0.33Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.25

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W Last 5 games W W W W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
9.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.25

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
3.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
8.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.0
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)80.0
85.71Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)60.0