Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Mon 16 Feb 2026 613 spectators
Oilers Home
7:8
TPS Away
P1 2:3 P2 3:1 P3 2:4

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 14%
86% Oilers
vs
14% TPS

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Oilers 1753, TPS 1487) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 92% of this season's games
Oilers 05:28 0:1 Elias Haataja06:41 0:2 Veikko Paajanen11:53 0:3 Eero Jalo12:14 1:3 Santeri Lindfors16:27 2:3 Markus Salmi22:47 3:3 Santeri Lindfors34:10 4:3 Markus Salmi37:01 5:3 Lauri Eloluoto39:46 5:4 Eero Jalo40:48 6:4 Waltteri Vesterinen42:57 7:4 Jesperi Lindfors44:14 7:5 Veikko Paajanen47:39 7:6 Veikko Paajanen50:15 7:7 Eero Jalo55:11 7:8 Jooa Höglund TPS
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 Oilers
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 12:14 1:3 Santeri Lindfors (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 54% → 67%
  2. 50:15 7:7 Eero Jalo (TPS) TPS's win chance 12% → 29%
  3. 55:11 7:8 Jooa Höglund (TPS) TPS's win chance 31% → 66%

The line shows Oilers's chance to win (top) against TPS's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

66.67 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 33.33

Penalties

3 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays3
2Power play goals0
3Penalty kills3
0Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
28Games played27
70Points35
2.50Points per Game (PPG)1.30
22Wins9
4Losses13
2 OT/PS Wins 3
0 OT/PS Losses 2
8.29Goals per Game (GPG)3.85
4.14Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.52
4.14Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.67
0.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L L W W W
2.80Points per Game (PPG)2.0
5.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.62Points per Game (PPG)1.43
5.23Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.07
66.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)75.0
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0