Finland 26/27 Regular Season Final Sat 24 Oct 2026 547 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 2:2 P3 2:6

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 29%
71% OLS
vs
29% Hawks

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (OLS 1497, Hawks 1385) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 94% of this season's games
OLS 09:56 0:1 Sakari Kataja-Rahko16:59 1:1 Kalle Lintala19:00 1:2 Antti Aarnio33:20 2:2 Santtu Rehu34:02 3:2 Luukas Virolainen34:42 3:3 Antti Aarnio34:50 3:4 Matias Salmela42:26 3:5 Justus Savolainen45:40 3:6 Luukas Huolman50:42 4:6 Petteri Hanski54:46 5:6 Petteri Hanski56:13 5:7 Leo Tiittala57:23 5:8 Luka Kuusela57:30 5:9 Matias Salmela59:07 5:10 Luka Kuusela Hawks
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
5 Hawks
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 34:50 3:4 Matias Salmela (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 35% → 52%
  2. 42:26 3:5 Justus Savolainen (Hawks) Hawks's win chance 58% → 76%
  3. 54:46 5:6 Petteri Hanski (OLS) OLS's win chance 8% → 27%

The line shows OLS's chance to win (top) against Hawks's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / n.a.

Penalties

2 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays2
0Power play goals1
2Penalty kills0
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead3
2Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
6Games played7
5Points6
0.83Points per Game (PPG)0.86
1Wins2
3Losses5
0 OT/PS Wins 0
2 OT/PS Losses 0
4.17Goals per Game (GPG)2.71
6.83Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
-2.67Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.29
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L L Last 5 games L L L W L
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.50Points per Game (PPG)0.0
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.50
14.29Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)37.50
40.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)100.0