Finland 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 14 Feb 2026 625 spectators
OLS Home
4:8
Oilers Away
P1 0:2 P2 2:3 P3 2:3

Pre-game win probability

36% OLS
vs
64% Oilers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (OLS 1577, Oilers 1722) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 58% of this season's games
OLS 02:34 0:1 Markus Salmi09:53 0:2 Antti Suomela23:19 1:2 Petteri Hanski24:32 2:2 Olli Lukkari29:34 2:3 Markus Markkola30:10 2:4 Jasper Auvinen33:55 2:5 Markus Salmi40:38 2:6 Waltteri Vesterinen47:07 3:6 Olli Lukkari49:15 3:7 Jasper Auvinen55:03 3:8 Santeri Lindfors59:55 4:8 Eetu Tolonen Oilers
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
5 Oilers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 24:32 2:2 Olli Lukkari (OLS) OLS's win chance 25% → 38%
  2. 29:34 2:3 Markus Markkola (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 61% → 75%
  3. 30:10 2:4 Jasper Auvinen (Oilers) Oilers's win chance 75% → 86%

The line shows OLS's chance to win (top) against Oilers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
24Games played27
42Points67
1.75Points per Game (PPG)2.48
12Wins21
8Losses4
2 OT/PS Wins 2
2 OT/PS Losses 0
5.33Goals per Game (GPG)8.30
4.79Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.15
0.54Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.15
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.60
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W L Last 5 games W W W W W
1.60Points per Game (PPG)2.80
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.31Points per Game (PPG)2.36
2.69Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.14
16.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)33.33
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)85.71